Home Blog Monday night numbers: VCU chases top-4 A-10 seed, NCAA tournament bid

Monday night numbers: VCU chases top-4 A-10 seed, NCAA tournament bid

VCU finishes their season with six games against top-100 teams.
VCU finishes their season with six games against top-100 teams.

VCU finishes its regular season with a brutal conference schedule that includes six games against top-100 teams — three at home, three on the road — and a banana peel game at Fordham. The black and gold are currently on track to make their fourth-straight NCAA tournament in what would be the first time in the history of VCU basketball that that has ever happened, but in order to do so the Rams must take care of business first.

Here’s where they stand currently and where both the computers and experts predict they’ll finish.

VCU RANKINGS

RPI: 29
Kenpom: 29
Sagarin: 33

CURRENT BRACKET PROJECTIONS

CBS (Jerry Palm): 8 seed
ESPN (Joe Linardi): 8 seed
NBC (Dave Ommen): 9 seed

RPI FORECAST BY FINAL RECORD

26-5 record, 9.3 RPI, 2.4% probability
25-6, 13.2,  12.41%
24-7 18.3 28.27%
23-8 24.0 30.71%
22-9 30.3 18.76%
21-10 37.5 6.31%
20-11 45.0 0.92%
19-12 54.4 0.07%

KENPOM REMAINING SCHEDULE PREDICTION

Wed Feb 12 37 George Washington W, 72-67 72 70% Home ×
Sat Feb 15 21 Saint Louis L, 68-63 71 28% Away ×
Fri Feb 21 39 Massachusetts L, 75-72 75 40% Away ×
Thu Feb 27 193 Fordham W, 82-72 73 81% Away ×
Sat Mar 1 21 Saint Louis W, 67-65 71 59% Home ×
Thu Mar 6 69 Richmond W, 67-66 68 54% Away ×
Sat Mar 8 65 St. Bonaventure W, 75-67 71 80% Home ×

 

THE A-10 TOURNAMENT RACE

VCU has a huge game on Wednesday night when they take on George Washington in a rematch of the Rams’ first A-10 loss of the season. The two teams are currently tied in second place at 7-2 in A-10 play. A VCU win would keep the Rams in control of their own destiny as they currently trail leader, Saint Louis, by two games but take on the Billikens twice to finish the season.

RPIFORCAST.COM PROJECTED FINAL CONFERENCE RECORDS

1. Saint Louis 14-2
2. UMass 11-5
3. VCU 11-5
4. George Washington 11-5
5. Richmond 10-6
6. Saint Joseph’s 10-6
7. Dayton 8-8
8. Saint Bonaventure 7-9
9. La Salle 7-9
10. Rhode Island 5-12
11. George Mason 4-13
12. Duquesne 4-13
13. Fordham 3-13

 

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