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A few additions to your mathThing is the one time transfer is where this would happen and almost no one is talking about taking that away. The kids that are being “taught a lesson “ are the multi time transfers. For the record this year in D1 there were just over 1800 entries into the portal and less than 2% were multi time transfers. So how does making say less than 5% of the kids transferring solve anything. My guess without looking at the data is that it is a much bigger issue in football and basketball is just a victim of the larger ruling. Also some fans are never going to be happy when a player leaves be it one, two or three years. MSS graduated and was vilified by many
1. 1,800 players (I actually think the number is higher, but let's go with this) is 40% of all the players in D1. That seems, I don't know, quite shocking.
2. Fewer than 5% of those were 2d time transfers because the rules prohibited them without waivers. If the rule became go-where-you-want-anytime-you-want-without-penalty, do you think it might be higher? Like 2/3 or 3/4 of all D1 players in the portal every year? Suppose 3/4 of a team's roster dipped every year; would the basketball on the court improve with that kind of turnover?
I don't necessarily think the NCAA's current exceptions are perfect, or even very well thought through. I do believe that a kid should be able to dip if his coach leaves, no matter how many times he has transferred before, and that isn't one of the listed exceptions, which seems incredibly punitive to me.
I also hate being put in the position of defending the NCAA on any topic, because it is generally a bunch of morally bankrupt bureaucrats who are out only to protect their own nests. Anything they do is presumptively wrong to me.
And for those who think that more lenity should be shown for kids "going home to take care of a relative," I would not necessarily disagree, although it would still require some line-drawing that would be unsatisfactory to some. Should it apply to non-life-threatening injuries or health conditions? Should it apply to cousins? Second cousins once removed? The family dog?
But the idea that everyone should be free to leave whenever, no matter how many times, for whatever reason like say a bigger NIL bag or because the coach refused to promise the kid starter's minutes, and play immediately, is ill-considered. I think it would be signing the death warrant for an already-ailing sport. It would not make CBB into the G League, because of course G league players can't just change teams because they get grumpy.
Oh, and to me it is a red herring to say that these kids should be able to transfer like any other college student, because they can. No one is stopping them. They can transfer once without basketball recourse, and can transfer again (and again and again) if they are willing to sit for a year and still play basektball, if basketball means that much to them. And if it doesn't, they can transfer "just like any other student."
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