That’s kind of the point. MSS is who he is as a player. Any improvement is likely to be at the margin. It’s that way with most rising seniors. Biggest improvement comes after either your freshman or sophomore seasons, in the vast majority of cases.Which I would contend makes Toppin a bigger risk for both. Of course higher the risk higher the reward. Lets say Jacob turns out to be everything UK hopes, then all is great. But lets say he is a bust. Then either UK is stuck with him for 4 years or they ask him t leave or he chooses to leave and he becomes a sit one play one and who is going to want to take a sit one play one that has proven anything in two previous schools? If you think its easy just look at the Xavier Jackson situation. You honestly think he would have stayed at VCU and played 11 min his senior year if someone would have taken a sit one player unproven player?
Toppin is high risk/high reward simply because his upside is greater. This is what Cal does, though. Almost every one and done player is high risk/high reward. Cal always has to replace a ton of players every season. He only has to be right on half or a bit more of his gambles because he always gets a ton of talent. UK may lose a game or two early that they shouldn’t (Evansville), but by year end, they are top 20 and a threat to win it all.