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    2023-24 Targets (Minutes/Points)

    9/21/23 Starters 1) 6'4" Shulga (Sr) - 30 mpg; 12 ppg 2) 6'7" Bairstow (Sr) - 29 mpg; 11 ppg 3) 6'5" Jackson (Sr) - 27 mpg; 9 ppg 4) 6'7" Belle (Fr) - 22 mpg; 8 ppg 5) 6'10" Wheeler (Jr) - 18 mpg; 5 ppg Rotation 6) 6'8" Kuany (Sr) - 18 mpg; 7 ppg 7) 5'10" Nelson (So) - 18 mpg; 6 ppg 8) 6'7"...
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    The Odom Era (2023-TBD)

    Major concerns/challenges abound. The past two decades (2004-23), VCU has danced 13 times over 19 post-seasons (good for 17th in the NCAA). Winning percentage is 13th amongst all 350+ D-1 programs. VCU is (and has been) solidly entrenched as a Top 50 program. Four primary reasons (in no...
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    70

    VCU plays at a 69 possession per game pace (on average) When VCU scores >70: 21-1 When VCU scores <=70: 6-6 When VCU allows <70: 25-4 When VCU allows 70+: 2-3 When VCU possessions >70: 13-0 When VCU possessions <=70: 14-7
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    Roster Construction (Personnel/Recruiting)

    IMO, our current woes are really as simple as a steady/gradual decline in overall skill/talent (and toughness, strength, depth, etc) up and down the roster. Starting Five/Rotation (2013): Reddic, Graham, Daniels, Brandenberg, Theus (rotation - Melvin, Briante, Guest, Haley) - NCAA Starting...
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    2022-23 Targets (Minutes/Points)

    5/3/22 Starters 1) 6'1" Baldwin (Jr) - 30 mpg; 12 ppg 2) 6'4" Nunn (So) - 28 mpg; 12 ppg 3) 6'5" Jackson (So) - 22 mpg; 7 ppg 4) 6'8" Johns (Sr) - 21 mpg; 8 ppg 5) 6'8" Deloach (So) - 21 mpg; 5 ppg Rotation 6) 6'6" Shriver (Sr) - 21 mpg; 8 ppg 7) 6'6" Watkins (So) - 20 mpg; 8 ppg 8) 6'5" Kern...
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    2022-23 Roster Construction/Mgmt

    In March, you go dancing (NCAA, hopefully)...........or at least to the sock-hop (NIT). In Apr/May, now you go "portal-ing" (as in "transfer portal"). BLUF: We've got to have a productive two months in the portal this Apr/May. You'll notice teams now literally "flipping/overhauling their...
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    The Path to an At-Large Bid (Mar 2022)

    Rather unlikely, of course.............but, nevertheless, remotely possible. Note: No team in the KP era (~20 years) has earned an at-large bid with a KP Offense of 178 or worse (we are currently at 292). VCU's KP Offense #177 in 2019 was lowest ever for an at-large. Current Record: 13-7...
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    This year's squad vs Wade's first yr squad

    I see some similarities between this 2021-22 squad (Rhoades' fifth edition) and the 2015-16 squad (Wade's first yr): 1) One returning double digit scorer (Vince Williams vs Melvin Johnson) 2) Key offseason perimeter acquisition (Marcus Tsohonis vs Korey Billbury) 3) Key offseason frontcourt...
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    Roster Construction/Mgmt - 2021-22

    Roster Construction and Expectation Mgmt could be a bit more challenging (than usual) for 2021-22. In 2020-21, we had 13 scholly players and one was injured all year (McAllister) and another (BMB) was effectively redshirted (for all intents and purposes). Mike, for a while, needed to find...
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    Rhoades - Year 4

    If we're going to turn this thing around in 2020-21 (and I'm not sure we can/will - our "decade of domination" ship may have sailed), Mike and his staff, IMO, need to adjust/elevate some their thinking/approaches in two distinct areas. #1) Recruiting/Roster Construction/Roster Mgmt #2) Game...
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    The Offense

    In a word...........abysmal. Last yr = KenPom 177 (lowest ever for an at-large) - 104.3 points per 100 possessions (adjusted for competition) This yr = KenPom 112 - 103.6 points per 100 possessions (adjusted for competition) This season: Against Below 200 KenPom opponents = 113.3 points per...
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    Season prediction (2019-20) - thru Selection Sunday Mar 2020

    PERFORMANCE OOC = 10-3 (losses to LSU, Purdue, Wichita St) A-10 Reg Season = 13-5 (losses to Dayton, UR, Rhody, Davidson, St Louis) A-10 Tourney = 1-1 (loss in semis) ----------------------------- Selection Sunday Record = 24-9; KP = 44 Overall (Offense = 91; Defense = 29); NET = 42; NCAA...
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    2020-21 Roster Possibilities (former player comps)

    Should the current roster hold for 2020-21, the following represents a potential "best-case scenario" regarding production, style, impact, etc. Sr 6'7" Santos-Silva - provide some Mo Alie-Cox type production/impact Sr 6'8" Douglas - perhaps by then will evolve into a Juvonte Reddic-lite type...
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    Schedule

    From a Northern Virginia fan’s perspective, this year's schedule turned out to be about as perfect as could be expected. Temple and St Johns at Barclays - reasonable drive to attend; high quality NET opponents as it turned out; ESPN televised games Dayton and St Joes - Fri night home games on...
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    Next Season and Beyond

    Great job by Mike and his staff getting back to the dance in Year 2 and re-establishing VCU as a Top 50 program nationally. Now, the hard (and fun) part (Apr-Nov 2019).......landing that monster/upper echelon 5-6 person recruiting class for 2020-21 that keeps us in the national conversation...
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    The Next Four Weeks: Feb 18-Mar 17 (Selection Sunday)

    This is quite possibly the most important four-week stretch for VCU basketball this decade. Securing an NCAA invite this season would provide a rocket-boost to the program in so many ways. For example, it would 1) Re-establish VCU as a national program (Top 50) with a national reputation and...
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    24 wins (on Selection Sunday)

    That's the magic number (for VCU) to get an an at-large bid this year...........unquestionably. To get to 24 wins on Selection Sunday, the composition of the remaining 11 wins (13 of them already in the books; 11 more to go) is actually irrelevant (reg season vs conf tourney, good vs bad...
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    Ram Report Card - Fall Semester 2018

    First of all, the metrics: Record: 9-4 (OOC) - 7-1 home, 1-2 road, 1-1 neutral RPI: 28 NET: 57 KenPom: 70 overall - 220 offense, 9 defense -- (last NCAA yr - 48 overall; 72 offense, 41 defense) SOS: 9 Top 100 RPI wins: Temple (21), Texas (46) Bad losses: none RPI 1-50: 2-2 RPI 51-100: 1-1 RPI...
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    Bracketology (NET)

    Status update..........Dec 28. As at-large bids go, now that the OOC has just about concluded, the recent Dec 27 Bracketology has the following breakdown (which is probably a fairly accurate prognostication/representation at this point): P6 - 32 bids Non-P6 - 4 bids (Cincy/UCF/SF/Utah St)...
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    NCAA At-Large Formula

    For us in 2018-19....... 9-4 OOC 14-4 Reg Season (1st or 2nd place) 2-1 A-10 tourney (lose in the final; 2nd place) ——————————————- 25-9 overall Despite the fact the A-10 is the 13-14th ranked conference this season instead of the usual 7-8th, the formula above could very well still garner an...
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