CAA Standings, VCU avoids Friday game?

Natty

Natty

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With our win and a Drexel home loss (thanks JMU)... We would have to lose all of our remaining games (3 of which are at home, but against good teams) to even get to a tie-breaker scenario with JMU and Drexel.

I don't want to jinx it (although I don't believe in jinxes), but it appears as though a first round bye SHOULD be in our future.
 
We will need to play much better than we have the last 4 games if we want to avoid a Friday game. All our last 4 have been squeakers against some of the lowest teams in the CAA.

This has me very worried.
 
BradRamFan said:
We will need to play much better than we have the last 4 games if we want to avoid a Friday game. All our last 4 have been squeakers against some of the lowest teams in the CAA.

This has me very worried.
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Boo Hoo! :D
 
you have ot take each game as is comes...records mean little as at this time of year teams have gotten better than games they played in early December if you know what I mean....these are good in conference games where nothing is a sure thing..ask Witchita State
 
Friday game is all how you look at it. Play Friday your team is warmed up for Saturday (last year since we came in and took it to GMU). Or you get the day rest and be fresh for a run into semis/finals. Really Saturdays game can be harder than Sundays sometimes just because you have to warm up and get in rhythm which the Friday team already has.
 
Ramz22 said:
Friday game is all how you look at it. Play Friday your team is warmed up for Saturday (last year since we came in and took it to GMU). Or you get the day rest and be fresh for a run into semis/finals. Really Saturdays game can be harder than Sundays sometimes just because you have to warm up and get in rhythm which the Friday team already has.
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Nobody has ever won the CAA Tournament playing four consecutive days.
 
6 teams have a mathematical shot at making the top 4

GMU (12-2); JMU & NU at home, VCU and GA St on the road (tie breaker TBD)

VCU (12-2); ODU, GMU, & JMU at home, Drexel on the road

ODU (10-4); GA St & WM at home, VCU & JMU on the road (tie breaker TBD, leans our way)

HU (10-4); WM & UD at home, UD & UNCW on the road (we own head-to-head tie breaker against)

DU (8-6); WM & VCU at home, UNCW & TU on the road (tie breaker TBD, leans our way)

JMU (8-6); ODU at home, GMU, TU, & VCU on the road (tie breaker TBD, leans our way)


trying to think through the scenarios makes my brain start to bleed
 
Winning 2 of the last 3 on the road a big step toward a bye on Friday. The earlier this is mathematically proven the better i feel; hope someone with time and analytic skills can confirm. Satisfied? No, pleased, yes because a bye on Friday is a big step forward.
 
I think, technically, Delaware might also still have a mathematical chance at 4th at (6-8) ... although tiebreakers with HU &/or ODU might already preclude that
 
DCDuck said:
Ramz22 said:
Friday game is all how you look at it. Play Friday your team is warmed up for Saturday (last year since we came in and took it to GMU). Or you get the day rest and be fresh for a run into semis/finals. Really Saturdays game can be harder than Sundays sometimes just because you have to warm up and get in rhythm which the Friday team already has.
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Nobody has ever won the CAA Tournament playing four consecutive days.
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I know that. I was just saying its how you look at it. Play Friday and be warned up more for Saturday. Sure you will prob. start to die out but just as big of a chance being cold on your first game on Saturday against a team warmed up from Friday. If i had to pick of course i would want the bye because we want to shoot for making it to finals and winning it not just being warm and winning Friday/Saturday and dying out on Sunday. Just saying a lot of tournaments have had many upsets because the bye team came out cold and the higher seed was not. Sooner or later a team will play 4 cons. days and win the tourney.. Maybe not anytime soon but it is bound to happen. Really if we didn't blow a double digit lead last year to ODU we probably would of won against W&M in the finals because of our inside game.
 
Ramz22 said:
Really if we didn't blow a double digit lead last year to ODU we probably would of won against W&M in the finals because of our inside game.
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I'm sick and tired of hearing about last year. Woulda, shoulda, coulda... just stop. Last year is last year. I don't want to go back and explain what all went into us going into OT and losing a close game to a good ODU team. And I don't want to speculate about if we could have or if we would have beaten W&M in the finals. That's why they play the game on a court and not in a computer simulation.

Ramz22 said:
Just saying a lot of tournaments have had many upsets because the bye team came out cold and the higher seed was not. Sooner or later a team will play 4 cons. days and win the tourney.. Maybe not anytime soon but it is bound to happen.
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What's to say we don't come out cold and shoot 10-for-40 after three good games? You can't bank on "getting hot" over the course of a four-game tournament. You can, however, bank on four games on four consecutive days taking its toll. Especially when it's four games running the kind of defense that we run; 40 minutes of full-court press, trap, and man-to-man defense.
 
DCDuck said:
Ramz22 said:
Really if we didn't blow a double digit lead last year to ODU we probably would of won against W&M in the finals because of our inside game.
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I'm sick and tired of hearing about last year. Woulda, shoulda, coulda... just stop. Last year is last year. I don't want to go back and explain what all went into us going into OT and losing a close game to a good ODU team. And I don't want to speculate about if we could have or if we would have beaten W&M in the finals. That's why they play the game on a court and not in a computer simulation.
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darn straight! If it was a computer simulation we would have lost every road game this season!
 
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