The line is in...

districtballer

districtballer

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Rhode Island
VCU -4

Which means that oddsmakers believe that on a neutral floor Rhode Island and VCU have an equal chance of winning the game. We get 4 points on virtue of being at home. This is pretty much in line with what I said in my preview. This Rhode Island team is still deep despite losing Baron and Seawright, just as we are after losing Eric Maynor. They have 8 players averaging 5.5 points per game or more. They have the depth to play our game with us. It will be tougher to wear them down unlike some of the other teams we've played.

That said, the Siegel Center provides a formidable homecourt advantage (the 16th highest winning percentage in the NCAA is nothing to sneeze at). If Larry manages to stay in the game, I like our chances. However, don't get me wrong, this is a game we can certainly lose. Rhode Island is a quality opponent and would be a good win for us.
 
If Larry stays in the game it will be very good for us. But perhaps more important is that we mix up our shots. If the 3's aren't all falling we need to work it into midrange as well as drives to the basket. That is why we did so well against Nevada. So regardless if Larry is in or not we need to mix up our shots.
 
BradRamFan said:
If Larry stays in the game it will be very good for us. But perhaps more important is that we mix up our shots. If the 3's aren't all falling we need to work it into midrange as well as drives to the basket. That is why we did so well against Nevada. So regardless if Larry is in or not we need to mix up our shots.
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100% agreement with you here. This is where Brad and TJ need to do their damage. Brad has shown he can work in the low post on guards with his strength and has some good moves down there as well as the mid-range jumper. Jay needs to continue to take the ball to the hoop and keep defenses honest. I think Ed has really improved taking the ball to the basket as well. We have some extremely quick, athletic guys out there.

Larry Sanders however brings another dimension to the game that URI simply cannot match. 6'9, 210 sophomore Orion Outerbridge is their tallest player and does not have nearly the wingspan Larry does. Their starters in the frontcourt are Lamonte Ulmer (6'6, 215) and Delroy James (6'8, 220). Larry at 6'11, 235 pounds will loom large in this game. Seeing as they shoot 27.5% from the field and our 3-point fg% defense is #2 in the nation, they are going to have to score from inside the arc. In a halfcourt offense, that is going to be extremely difficult with Larry in the paint. They will likely be looking to score off of turnovers and defensive stops before our defense gets set. We need to take care of the ball and play smart basketball.
 
Not that this is breaking news, but the line is about generating bets on both teams and not about what the oddsmakers think about either team. Actually its more reflective of what the people placing bets think about the teams.

districtballer said:
Rhode Island
VCU -4

Which means that oddsmakers believe that on a neutral floor Rhode Island and VCU have an equal chance of winning the game. We get 4 points on virtue of being at home. This is pretty much in line with what I said in my preview. This Rhode Island team is still deep despite losing Baron and Seawright, just as we are after losing Eric Maynor. They have 8 players averaging 5.5 points per game or more. They have the depth to play our game with us. It will be tougher to wear them down unlike some of the other teams we've played.

That said, the Siegel Center provides a formidable homecourt advantage (the 16th highest winning percentage in the NCAA is nothing to sneeze at). If Larry manages to stay in the game, I like our chances. However, don't get me wrong, this is a game we can certainly lose. Rhode Island is a quality opponent and would be a good win for us.
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The intial lines set by vegas are computed with many many factors in mind like stats, historical match ups etc. It's up to the public to move the lines based on human emtions and research.



Mistachill said:
Not that this is breaking news, but the line is about generating bets on both teams and not about what the oddsmakers think about either team. Actually its more reflective of what the people placing bets think about the teams.

districtballer said:
Rhode Island
VCU -4

Which means that oddsmakers believe that on a neutral floor Rhode Island and VCU have an equal chance of winning the game. We get 4 points on virtue of being at home. This is pretty much in line with what I said in my preview. This Rhode Island team is still deep despite losing Baron and Seawright, just as we are after losing Eric Maynor. They have 8 players averaging 5.5 points per game or more. They have the depth to play our game with us. It will be tougher to wear them down unlike some of the other teams we've played.

That said, the Siegel Center provides a formidable homecourt advantage (the 16th highest winning percentage in the NCAA is nothing to sneeze at). If Larry manages to stay in the game, I like our chances. However, don't get me wrong, this is a game we can certainly lose. Rhode Island is a quality opponent and would be a good win for us.
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Click to expand...
 
Sagarin Ratings give the home team 3.98 points. Based on each team's rating + the 3.98 rating points allowed to VCU for being the home team, Sagarin has this game as a toss up.
 
Sorry, I'm not a betting man so I apologize I didn't understand the dynamics of how they put the line out. Either way, this game is far from the easy win a lot of us are expecting. Rhode Island is the #8 preseason A-10 team, but the A-10 is a lot stronger than the CAA, and they'll give us all we can handle. That's why we need to pack the house and show them why the Siegel Center is one of the most intimidating arenas in the country.
 
We're gonna win. It'll be a battle, but our guys will pull it out.
 
Need to rebound alot better....we gave up way too many second chance ( and third ) against Nevada
 
Another, probably bigger key to this game is turnovers. RI will press. VCU had 26 last year. Need to cut that in half and exploit transition opportunities.
 
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