Who Needs The Bubble When You’re A10 Champions?

ramluvr99

ramluvr99

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has the bubble popped for vcu? team rankings says it has, but jerry palm has us listed as a bubble team and lunardi has us as the next for out. thoughts?
 

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say what you want about the changing landscape of college basketball and how hard it is for mid majors to get an at-large, but in what jerry palm has decided is the bubble we have the lowest sos and the second lowest nc sos. think it comes down to scheduling if we don’t make it.
 
ramluvr99 said:
View attachment 14658
has the bubble popped for vcu? team rankings says it has, but jerry palm has us listed as a bubble team and lunardi has us as the next for out. thoughts?
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Whatever this site is ... ignore it. There is a non-zero chance we get in as an at-large bid. The chance is smallish and will require a lot more wins, but it's not zero.
 
SteveMM said:
Whatever this site is ... ignore it. There is a non-zero chance we get in as an at-large bid. The chance is smallish and will require a lot more wins, but it's not zero.
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agreed. what do you think our tourney chances are?
 
I think we should proceed as if our at large chances are 0% and avoid some heartache later. Some here might think it's unfair, I'm sure other bubble teams would disagree, but it will come down to us not beating anyone better than a 70-ish NET team, potentially zero Q1 wins, weak SOS, along with an unimpressive WAB metric.

We know this team is good enough to compete with anyone, but our resume on paper might be tough for the committee to work with. Hope I'm wrong, but I'm just counting on winning the A10 tournament to get in.
 
ramluvr99 said:
don’t see how a team that is 37 in net and 35 in kenpom isnt at least on the outside looking in though
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because Net & Kenpom & all that nonsense is hot $#!t.

For example.....

Indiana State was a Top 30 net team last year & missed the NCAA Tourney. They were the first team since NET was introduced to miss the tourney despite being a Top 30 Ranked team in the NET.

They were 1-4 in Quad 1 games with the only win being a road victory at Bradley. Lost to Illinois State at home & lost against Bama & Michigan State.

Yet teams like SCar (Net 51), Northwestern (Net 53) & UVA (Net 54) all got in. If Indiana State last year had gotten some signature wins maybe they get in.
 
balldontlie said:
I think we should proceed as if our at large chances are 0% and avoid some heartache later. Some here might think it's unfair, I'm sure other bubble teams would disagree, but it will come down to us not beating anyone better than a 70-ish NET team, potentially zero Q1 wins, weak SOS, along with an unimpressive WAB metric.

We know this team is good enough to compete with anyone, but our resume on paper might be tough for the committee to work with. Hope I'm wrong, but I'm just counting on winning the A10 tournament to get in.
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Yeah, I have been in this mode for quite some time. Just keep getting better and winning.
 
VCU Finance 2008 said:
We will know more by 9 pm but while our NET is solid we don't have a great resume. Looking at our schedule we kind of need to win all of them. Any loss would either be a bad loss or a missed opportunity for a good win. Our most likely path is definitely through the A10 tournament.
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Right now we're looking a lot like Indiana State did last year, and they got snubbed despite having a NET of 29. All we can do is win, though.
 
WillWeaverRVA said:
Right now we're looking a lot like Indiana State did last year, and they got snubbed despite having a NET of 29. All we can do is win, though.
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Yeah, and even if we win out and "deserve" to get in there are flaws in our resume that the committee could point to as reasons why we were left out. Mostly in non conference games. I have no idea what the bubble teams look like now or what they will look like in March but the strength of schedule and our performance in Nov/Dec are definitely holding us back. We have been chipping away at that during conference play and hopefully continue to do so.
 
balldontlie said:
I think we should proceed as if our at large chances are 0% and avoid some heartache later. Some here might think it's unfair, I'm sure other bubble teams would disagree, but it will come down to us not beating anyone better than a 70-ish NET team, potentially zero Q1 wins, weak SOS, along with an unimpressive WAB metric.

We know this team is good enough to compete with anyone, but our resume on paper might be tough for the committee to work with. Hope I'm wrong, but I'm just counting on winning the A10 tournament to get in.
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okay but we could win on the road against top 75 dayton and beat top 70 mason at home. and i’ll wab will improve as we win and others lose
 
ramluvr99 said:
agreed. what do you think our tourney chances are?
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To get an at large bid? I really have no idea. But, I also don't put myself out there as an expert in bracketology. If I was forced at gunpoint to come up with a number, I'd say 10%.
 
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